Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of February 28, 2023. He has finished his last nine races at the track in the top-10. ET, FOX) at Auto Club Speedway, Im taking a very conservative approach for three key reasons: As a result, Im essentially sitting out of Sundays race at Auto Club except for the following group bet thats posted at Caesars Sportsbook. The NASCAR season continues on Sunday with the 2021 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. We have some tracks that are coming up on the schedule that I think we should win. He has three runner-up finishes on the track and -- along with Erik Jones -- is one of two Michigan natives who will be competing. The No. Kyle Busch heads into this week as the favorite (+600) after a convincing victory in the Pala Casino 400 last weekend. The FireKeepers Casino 400 can be seen Sunday at 3 p.m. If you Im instead opting for Almirolas +500 odds, and heres why. I've been a serious Fantasy NASCAR player for over 10 years now, and I'm just getting started. However, Almirola should easily be the second-most likely to win the group and has better than a 16.67% chance, which is what his +500 odds imply, to do so. document.getElementById("comment").setAttribute( "id", "a29234cc541813c362a6ef1216053161" );document.getElementById("fe53143262").setAttribute( "id", "comment" ); Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Larson also had the fourth-best average speed across all the intermediate tracks last year, according to ifantasyrace.com. In summer 2019 in his next most recent race, Larson finished 3rd and had a 13.3 average running position. It has been a while since the series has competed on a large intermediate However, his team Penske teammates showed more speed, qualifying fourth and fifth. Hamlin should be a good pick at Michigan. Given his recent form and underlying metrics, Reddick would be a steal at his listed NASCAR DFS price tags. But now hes with Richard Childress Racing, and this race will be key to know how quickly he and his team can gel, especially if practice and qualifying rain out. The winner on the racetrack tallies 45 points, while second place gets 42, third 41 and so on.

FanDuel Values

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DraftKings Values

, At some point, we have to agree that Brad Keselowski ceases to be valuable when he runs so poorly on a week-in and week-out basis. The combination of a new nose and whatever gains teams made over the offseason will not be known until cars go green this afternoon. Logano posted the fastest speed in practice on the five-lap speed chart and he qualified fourth for the race. In the race he finished 3rd in Stage #1, 3rd in Stage #2, had a 5.4 average running position, was the fastest driver late in a run and had the 2nd best Total Speed Ranking. Hamlin posted the third-fastest speed in practice and qualified ninth for the race. Here are the picks for the FireKeepers Casino 400. Looking at the 550hp package races this year, Reddick five finishes of 9th or better in the eight races and only two results worse than 11th (he was 22nd at Las Vegas and 26th in the first Atlanta race). Trailing Busch is 2021 Cup Series champ Kyle Larson, who finished runner-up in this race last year, but has had a lackluster start to 2023, with finishes of 18th and 29th to kick off the campaign. I view Kansas as the most similar track, and at that venue he finished 2nd, led 29 laps and had the 4th best Total Speed Ranking. Here are the rules for DraftKings' NASCAR fantasy game. This is a very safe cash lineup to use, in my opinion. Larson hasnt visited victory lane since February, but that was at Auto Club, the one other big 2.0-mile high-speed intermediate track on the schedule. It was his best finish at this track, better than what he did with Joe Gibbs Racing. Tyler Reddick ($7,400) Honestly, I probably like Tyler Reddick a little too much this weekend at Michigan, as this is my favorite tournament play on the slate for sure. Obviously Larson is the favorite to dominate Sundays race, but Chase Elliott has shown flashes of similar speed in this 550 hp package this season. Usually the scheduled is filled with 1.5 and 2-mile ovals, but NASCAR decided to replace Kentucky, Chicago and California with road courses. That means its the final time we get to play on DraftKings with this layout. Do not worry about allocations anymore. At Fontana, the No. Reddick was especially strong at the 1.5-mile ovals of Kansas and Charlotte, and overall he comes in sixth in my FLAGS rankings at similar tracks. The projected finishes are averaged from six different ranking systems. I got three data tables ready to analyze this weekend for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan. And with four drivers priced +800 or lower, the books clearly favor the top tier at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. Michigan Track History Kyle Busch is an elite performer at Michigan who currently has nine straight results between 3rd to 10th. Kyle Larson is the 3-1 favorite in the latest 2021 FireKeepers Casino 400 The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to the Irish Hills of Michigan to compete at Michigan International Speedway. Throw in the fact that Chase has the best average finish (7.7) among active drivers at this track and you really have to like rolling the dice on last years Cup Champion. Last year, Reddicks race wasnt incident free, and he finished an asterisk mark 29th. Sign Up Now, B) New users at DraftKings can bet $5 andget $200 in bonus bets! Head to SportsLine to 20 car is just another fast Toyota this weekend. Fantasy sports are one of the most popular activities among sports fans, and NASCAR has it own fun Anthony Alfredo Aggressive Lineup (GPP) 1. In his last five races at Michigan, Denny Hamlin has been the most dominant of any driver in the Sprint Cup series. The Spartans put up only 1.3 more points per game (70.2) than the Buckeyes Unfortunately, that was one of Stenhouses few bright spots of the season. When you make your DraftKings rosters this week, try to target drivers that are good at high-tire wear racetracks, like Darlington Raceway and Homestead-Miami Speedway. It might also reward your DraftKings account if he finishes well and records fastest laps. In 2019, Busch had a great season and had results of 5th and 6th. Fantasy sports doesnt sleep, and neither does Fantrax, with seasons running 365 days a year. Drivers also can earn .45 for each fastest lap and .25 for each lap they lead. Jones was the best driver in the four races at Auto Club, Darlington and Homestead, which are universally known for their high tire wear, in 2022, but it was actually Almirola who posted the best average finish of the group in these races. A lot has changed since then, so take those statistics with a grain of salt, but the data from the last two years at these two tracks is very relevant. Get a preview of the field with our Pennzoil 400 odds, and be sure to check back later in the week for a full race preview and, Pennzoil 400: Las Vegas Picks, Odds & Race Preview, NASCAR Cup Series Odds: Busch Makes First Move, Climbs Into No. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, I think the road to victory lane will go thru Kyle Larson. Tip from McGuirk Arena in Mount Pleasant is at 7 p.m. First up is data from the 550hp package this year. Copy this into the source of your page where you want the article to appear: Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly. The offense is ranked 120th in the league while the defense is ranked 62nd. Also, be sure to check out the Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order for this race by clicking here! The NASCAR Cup Series will make a trip to Michigan International Speedway Sunday. 11 car Sunday. No team has won more Cup Series races at Michigan than RFK's six victories. That does not mean anything if the Cup Series has another first-time winner. As mentioned in my DFS YouTube video this week, Reddick is a great pivot or combination driver with the chalk place differential plays priced a little higher. Hes ended up 9th or better in five of his last nine Michigan starts and has ended up inside the top 10 in ten of the last twelve Stages here. How to make 2022 NASCAR at Michigan picks The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2022 NASCAR at Michigan odds of 12-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. 2023 Frontstretch NASCAR DraftKings League Now, here are my picks! ET . The 2022 NASCAR at Michigan green flag drops at 3 p.m. These were just single lap times, but where the good information lies in the 10 lap average speed. Grab This Top 10 Prop Bet For The NASCAR Race At Daytona 2 DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks, Projections, & Strategy Breakdown (Coke Watkins Glen NASCAR Algorithm Predicted Finishing Order (Go Bowling At The Watkins Glen DraftKings NASCAR Fantasy Picks & Driver Projections (Go Bowling Michigan is a 2-mile race track. Daytona 500 Betting Odds, Picks, Predictions. This type of track suits Reddick very well. All of the driver values come from the league run by ESPN. Blaney only having three career top 5 finishes at this track is probably going to scare some people away, but trust me: that number could easily be double, he just has trouble finishing sometime. Turning my attention to NASCAR odds for Sundays Pala Casino 400 (3:30 p.m. In 2020 #2, Reddick started in the rear of the field in a backup car, had a 17.5 average running position, had the 19th best Total Speed Ranking and finished 24th. FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan: NASCAR DFS Picks, Top 500 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Rankings, Fantasy 101: How to Play Rotisserie Baseball, 2023 Fantasy Baseball Position Eligibility, Fantasy EPL 101 How to Play Draft Premier League. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling: If you or a loved one is experiencing problems with gambling and needs support, Fantasy Fallout: With Gavin Lux Out, Could A Sleeper Emerge? People will use Bowman and Harvick priced just above him, and Bubba Wallace priced slightly below him. Try selecting a different location. Heres my NASCAR DFS picks and strategy for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan. As I discussed in my preview on Thursday, Kevin Harvick has the best history and the most to gain by winning. For the season, Busch ranks fourth in laps led (462) and sixth in pass differential (220). Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, Tyler Reddick has a less than appealing track record but on Sunday, look for him to be a contender. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, Tyler Reddick has a less than appealing track record but on Sunday, look for him to be a contender. The emotion of Well, he just cant be this bad runs into the statistical evidence that Well, yes, he can.. On a good day, Alfredo will post a top 25. Elliott is a legitimate top 5 threat on Sunday and if he can just pick up a handful of dominator points along the way, hes going to be worth taking the risk on in DraftKings at just $9,200 salary. In 2018, Larson had dud results of 17th and 28th. Please keep in mind that comments are moderated according to our comment policy. With horsepower at a premium, teams and drivers will need to make speed. Included in these tables are the following statistics: Its not uncommon for Michigan to be a one dominator race. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to Michigan International Speedway (MIS) Sunday for the FireKeepers Casino 400. Try it out! At $5,800 in DraftKings, and with a starting position of 35th, its just a no-brainer. Fantasy NASCAR FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan: NASCAR DFS Picks By Kelly Kirby On Aug 7, 2022 The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole Get Your First Deposit Matched Up to $100! Like Blaney, his 30th place starting position is not representative of his true speed. Your email address will not be published. The offense is ranked 120th in the league while the defense is ranked 62nd. I have set up another Free FanDuel contest for our readers to allow everyone to play this nutty little game that adds a lot of excitement to NASCAR races for casual and diehard fans alike. Its free to join, but as of now its just for bragging rights. Before scouring the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 starting lineup and making any 2022 NASCAR Michigan predictions, be sure to see the latest NASCAR at Michigan picks from SportsLine's proven projection model. Kyle Larson is on the pole for this weekends race with his teammate, Chase Elliott, slated to start 2nd. Michigan is one of my favorite tracks. The rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings NASCAR salaries for Saturday. Below is my NASCAR DFS lineup picks for the Pala Casino 400 on DraftKings and FanDuel this week. This site .css-110721q{color:#0079F0;}contains commercial content. Michigan, in recent history, has shown that good qualifying position can lead to good results. Under 10:1, we also find Ross Chastain and Joey Logano. While leading on lap 158, Larson ran out of fuel. Truex posted the fifth-fastest speed in practice and qualified seventh for the race. Christopher Bell 4. 9 car for Watkins Glen). He has never finished worse then 10th and only finished out of the top three once, with two of the those races being wins for the No. Tyler Reddick 6. Tyler Reddick 5. In addition, the driver of the No. Austin Dillon 5. Ryan Blaney ($9,000) If Chase Elliott is a little too risky for you, then go one position further back on the starting grid and consider Ryan Blaney. Micah Roberts revealed his NASCAR picks for the Pala Casino 400 2023 on Sunday at 3:30 p.m. When looking at odds, you should only really use them to pick out the top two drivers for your team each week. WebNASCAR Fantasy Live is the only NASCAR fantasy game to offer live scoring! I will use another allocation with the No. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. The fifth and final spot on a fantasy team may not seem that important, but I believe selecting a good fifth driver is what separates good teams from bad teams. Read on for my daily fantasy NASCAR With these strong finishes and extremely good price, every team owner should consider adding Brian Vickers to their team. Ill note, it wasnt a huge issue, but it certainly didnt help. I think youll find it really helpful when you create your own lineups. As the early NASCAR Cup Series odds begin to evolve, Busch could make a serious statement with a second win in as many weeks, and with Top-5 finishes in this race each of the past two years, it's certainly within his grasp. The NASCAR Cup Series is headed to the Irish Hills of Michigan this weekend for the FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday afternoon. GARAGE DRIVER: TYLER REDDICK (3): Reddick will have some momentum Sunday after his win at the Brickyard last week. I say shockingly because, frankly, that is not usually the case. Ill note, he spent some time running in the top five and legitimately ran as high as 2nd. The starting lineup would be set by the rulebook if qualifying gets rained out, which is likely the metric formula used predominantly in 2020. If a driver posts some fast laps in practice and qualifies up front, he needs to be in our lineups. In the 550hp package this year, hes got an average finish of 11.5 and an average running position of 12.6. The #5 Chevrolet is going to be a threat to win on Sunday and Larson should pick up the most dominator points along the way yet again. Brad Keselowski's first year with RFK Racing hasn't gone as planned as he sits 29th in Cup Series standings after finishing in the top eight in each of the past five years. This will be the first race on a 2-mile oval and only the seventh race on an intermediate track in 2021. At the other high-speed intermediate tracks visited this year, Reddick has shown speed and has results of 6th (Charlotte), 7th (Las Vegas) and 30th (Kansas, looked like a top five contender until he got into the wall). So what are the top NASCAR DFS picks for Sunday's 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400? 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. I probably wouldnt pair these two together in one lineup, though, unless youre not including Larson in it. At Auto Club, the other big 2.0-mile oval visited earlier this year, Reddick had the field covered until he had a flat tire and had Byron crash into him. As someone who has always been obsessed with numbers, Fantasy NASCAR has been the perfect fit with me. DENNY HAMLIN (3): What should we do with Hamlin and his Dr. As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers. Truckin Thursdays: Ironman Matt Crafton Ready To Shake Off the Rust. If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. His Daddy Bill Elliott won seven times at Michigan. Buyer beware, though, that even though a driver is in the top 10 in points doesnt alwaysguaranteesuccess at certain tracks. Before making any 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 picks, you NEED to see what SportsLine's Micah Roberts has to say. I will use one of my allocations with Rowdy Sunday. Alex Bowman 3. Stenhouses salary is a little high, but could be a nice fill-in for your lineups on DraftKings. KYLE BUSCH (3): All the talk about Busch not running well because he is distracted by the contract discussions is nonsense. ET on USA Network. A California native, Joy was raised as a motorsports fan and started watching NASCAR extensively in 2001. Lets not skip the best part myPerfect% metric a metric that tells you how often certain racers appear in the optimal lineup when running 10,000 race simulations. The first pick every team should make this week is to pick up Denny Hamlin. He led 90 of the 200 laps but bounced off the wall one too many times in the race. Of those, I view Kansas to be the single most similar track and at that venue in addition to finishing 3rd, Busch had the best Total Speed Ranking. These kind of results make Denny a must have for almost every team in this week's upcoming race, and he comes in at a good price this week at 21.6. Get more NASCAR DFS advice here. Blaney starts 24th because he tagged the wall slightly during his qualifying lap. By Pearce Dietrich Aug 3, 2022, 12:31pm PDT For a slightly lesser cost, you could fill you teams spot with Newmans teammate and boss, Tony Stewart. Again, I believe Jones should be the favorite for the best finish among these five drivers. 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